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Smartphones and fertility: a simple model
Preliminary calibrated estimates to explain my skepticism
May 23
•
Ciaran
1
ChatGPT role-plays myself
I asked ChatGPT 5.5 to rewrite Imas’ post in the style of myself.
May 20
•
Ciaran
1
AI employment effects: a primer
All your questions on what AI means for your job answered
May 16
•
Ciaran
1
1
1
May 2026 links
I'm going back to a monthly format for these, as with my conversion to writing on the browser version, I can now make multiple drafts.
May 1
•
Ciaran
1
April 2026
Should Mythos be made public?
Why Anthropic is correct in making its bold move to restrict its latest rollout
Apr 30
•
Ciaran
1
A few musings on life in a post-AGI world
Plus why healthy epistemic reasoning habits are penalised to the detriment of society
Apr 21
•
Ciaran
1
Mid-April 2026 links
If only Carlsen was still defending his title. That match would be the game of the century.
Apr 21
•
Ciaran
Why I don't replicate papers
Facing a rather stringent time constraint, I tend to just adjust via downgrading my confidence in any paper posted on X instead.
Apr 18
•
Ciaran
1
My stance on alcohol
We should reduce the social status of alcohol yet this does not imply abstention
Apr 17
•
Ciaran
1
My postmodern defence of truth
Postmodernists are correct that truth depends on meaning yet meaning does not arise arbitrarily
Apr 10
•
Ciaran
April 2026 links
This is actually a good endorsement of economics and political science. Also notable that to the extent the results do fail robustness or replication…
Apr 9
•
Ciaran
1
A theory of moral complementarity
What Hinduism can teach us about modern debates in ethics
Apr 9
•
Ciaran
1
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